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The BBC’s new account adds detail on how predictive policing can turn past patterns into future records. When police patrol areas flagged by a system more heavily, more crime may be recorded there; that data can then make those areas look like still stronger candidates for patrols. The result is a feedback loop, not simply a forecast that sits on a screen.

Sociologist Sarah Brayne’s research inside the Los Angeles Police Department found that data used to predict crime was skewed: crimes in public places were more likely to be recorded, and police attention fell disproportionately on Black neighbourhoods.

The piece includes a counterpoint from AI researcher Dimitrios Kollias: modern systems can do more than reproduce training examples, and bias is not inevitable. He says systems can be tested for unfair outcomes and safeguards introduced.

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