Sabine Hossenfelder Video posted an update
The Experts Were Wrong About AI. Again
Why it mattersThe video examines how experts have forecast artificial-intelligence progress and, according to its description, repeatedly missed the mark. It contrasts benchmarks expected to take a decade that arrived within a year with areas where forecasts were wrong in the opposite direction.
Discuss: What might explain the contrast between AI benchmarks arriving far sooner than expected and other forecasts overshooting in the opposite direction?
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