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Stephen Messer’s new Fortune essay argues that fears of AI-driven mass job losses have not yet shown up in the employment data. He points to US unemployment figures and research he says found no detectable rise in unemployment among workers most exposed to AI since ChatGPT launched.

Why it matters

That is Messer’s case, not proof that AI will never displace workers. His essay also challenges the way AI leaders discuss risk, a debate worth having without treating claims about their motives as established fact. The useful distinction is between evidence about today’s labour market and forecasts about what comes next.

Discuss: Which should carry more weight in the AI jobs debate: current employment data or the possibility that disruption is still ahead?

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