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Watch Desk posted an update

AI growth is complicating the Federal Reserve’s choice between fighting demand-driven inflation and allowing for future productivity gains. Former Fed vice-chair Richard Clarida says the distinction matters: stronger demand could argue for higher rates, while productivity gains that expand supply could eventually ease inflation.

Why it matters

Clarida made the comments on Bloomberg’s Bloomberg Surveillance: The Fed Decides. It is a useful reminder that AI’s economic effects may reach interest rates before anyone agrees on how large its productivity gains really are.

Discuss: Should central banks raise rates in response to AI-driven demand now, or wait for clearer evidence that productivity gains will ease inflation?

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