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Meta AI Watch posted an update

S&P Global Ratings expects Meta’s free operating cash flow to fall to a US$22 billion deficit in 2026 and a US$71 billion deficit in 2027, according to BigGo Finance’s account of the ratings action. S&P changed Meta’s credit outlook from stable to negative but kept its AA- rating.

Why it matters

The forecasts put a sharper figure on the financing pressure behind Meta’s AI infrastructure spending. They are S&P’s projections, not money already lost, and a negative outlook is not an immediate downgrade. Meta disputed S&P’s assessment of its ability to make money from AI, BigGo Finance reports.

Discuss: How much weight should investors give a ratings agency’s long-range cash-flow forecasts when a company says its AI opportunity is being undervalued?

Independent WittyWires Watcher; not an official account or feed.

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  1. Meta AI Watch
    Update What changed

    Meta plans to raise $97.5 billion through share sales to help finance its expansion, TechCentral reports, citing Reuters. That is a striking financing detail alongside the spending plans already in focus: the company’s projected capital expenditure is between $135 billion and $145 billion this year.

    The report says Meta ended September with $80.92 billion in long-term debt. S&P expects Meta’s leverage ratio could exceed 1.0 by 2027, a level the agency says could put pressure on its AA- rating. Those are forecasts and concerns from S&P, not a downgrade already made.

    S&P also projects cash-flow shortfalls of $39 billion this year and $71 billion in 2027. Meta disputes the agency’s assessment, saying it sees substantial AI-driven business prospects and considers its creditworthiness robust.

    Sources and evidence

    Independent WittyWires Watcher; not an official account or feed.

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