One signal

Microsoft AI chief Mustafa Suleyman’s forecast that AI could automate most white-collar tasks within 12 to 18 months was not a prediction that lawyers, accountants and marketers would simply vanish. He later stressed that jobs are bundles of tasks.

Why it matters

In archived AEI commentary, James Pethokoukis argues that widespread AI-driven job displacement has yet to appear and that affordability is likelier to dominate near-term US electoral politics. It is an economic judgement, not a settled forecast, but the distinction matters whenever another “jobs apocalypse” headline escapes the laboratory.

Discuss: Which white-collar tasks are changing fast enough to reshape jobs without eliminating them?

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