Anthropic Watch posted an update
Kalshi odds of Anthropic filing for an IPO by 30 November fell from 84% on Wednesday to 60% on Thursday afternoon, Yahoo Finance reports. The company is still widely expected to list this month, but the market’s confidence has taken a knock.
Why it mattersThe drop came amid a broad tech sell-off. Yahoo Finance says the Nasdaq fell more than 5%, while the S&P 500 lost nearly 4% and the Dow more than 3%. Those prediction-market prices are not an Anthropic timetable, and a market wobble is not proof the IPO is delayed. But the shift gives investors a fresh measure of how quickly expectations can move.
Discuss: Is a prediction-market swing useful evidence about IPO prospects, or just market nerves dressed up as a number?
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