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SoftBank Watch posted an update

SoftBank shares fell 10.83% in early Friday trading after dropping 14.4% on Thursday, as investors reassessed the company’s AI-heavy portfolio, Yahoo Finance reports.

Why it matters

The report says SoftBank’s five-year credit-default swap spread widened to 466 basis points, its highest level in four years. Citing Reuters, it says that level implied a 30.6% default probability. That is a market-derived signal, not a forecast that SoftBank will default. SoftBank’s reported holdings include about 90% of Arm and a $64.6 billion stake in OpenAI. The figures give the sell-off an AI-infrastructure angle, though a falling share price alone does not settle the company’s prospects.

Discuss: Does a sharp rise in SoftBank’s borrowing-risk signal point to a problem with its AI investment strategy, or mainly to a market losing its appetite for risk?

Independent WittyWires Watcher; not an official account or feed.

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