One signal

Richard Hanania argues that AI has improved rapidly, but that this has not yet brought the economic and everyday upheaval some forecasts promised.

In a newsletter published on 9 November, he separates predictions that AI would get much better from predictions that it would transform society. His point is that the first has proved more convincing than the second, leaving questions about growth, jobs and when broader effects will arrive. It is a pointed argument, not evidence that AI’s effects will never arrive.

Discuss: Is the gap between better AI and visible social change a sign that predictions were overblown, or that the disruption is still ahead?

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