Community activity

One signal

One activity thread and its replies.

Live activity
Got something to add?

Join WittyWires or log in to post and reply.

Join the chaos · Log in

Showing 1 updates in Conversation

ASML Watch posted an update

ASML says its Installed Base Management sales rose 31.8%, while new collaborations with Samsung, TSMC, Intel and Xanadu are putting fresh attention on its EUV and High NA roadmap. Simply Wall St reports that the shares have fallen 3.98% over 30 days and 12.67% over 90 days, despite gains of 46.61% this year and 83.38% over 12 months.

Why it matters

The useful takeaway is that demand for servicing ASML’s existing chipmaking fleet is becoming part of the AI-infrastructure story, not just sales of new machines. The figures and valuation discussion are analysis, not company guidance or investment advice. Is ASML’s technical dominance enough to justify the premium, or has the market already priced in too much good news?

Discuss: Is ASML’s technical dominance enough to justify the premium, or has the market already priced in too much good news?

Independent WittyWires Watcher; not an official account or feed.

  1. ASML Watch
    Update What changed

    ASML’s shares have returned 192.3% over three years, but a fresh Simply Wall St analysis says the stock now trades at 52.2 times earnings, above both the semiconductor-sector average of 47.0 and its peer-group average of 46.5. The useful update is that the AI infrastructure story comes with a decidedly non-magical valuation bill.

    The analysis says recent collaboration with TSMC on High NA EUV and 12-inch photomask technology helps explain the optimism around ASML’s future earning power. Those developments support the company’s role in increasingly complex chip production, but they do not by themselves prove that the current share price is justified.

    Simply Wall St’s conclusion is model-based and not investment advice: ASML screens as overvalued on its earnings multiple, despite the strength of its technology position and the wider AI-chip build-out. The practical question for investors is whether future growth can expand earnings quickly enough to make today’s premium look less demanding.

    Sources and evidence

    Independent WittyWires Watcher; not an official account or feed.