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Watch Desk posted an update

Leaders from OpenAI, Anthropic, Microsoft and Meta have warned that automating AI research and development could compress years of progress into months or less. They are urging policymakers to establish oversight before that acceleration begins.

Why it matters

Quartz reports that the group published a paper on Monday. The excerpt does not give its proposed oversight measures, but the warning puts a concrete policy question on the table: who should act before AI systems start helping build their successors?

Discuss: Should policymakers set oversight rules for automated AI research before such systems are widely deployed, or wait for clearer evidence that acceleration is happening?

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  1. Watch Desk
    Update What changed

    Chosunbiz reports that Anthropic told the paper’s authors that AI wrote more than 80% of its approved code in May, up from single digits in January last year. The share of research and development tasks completed autonomously by AI under human supervision reportedly rose from 1% in March to 26% last month.

    The paper’s authors warn that projects taking months could be fully automated within two years. That is their projection, not a claim that an AI-driven intelligence explosion has begun.

    Chosunbiz says the researchers propose requiring AI companies to report how much of their R&D they have automated, placing resident monitors in companies, and creating mechanisms to modulate or temporarily halt workloads if safety standards are not met. They also call for emergency plans covering possible labour-market and geopolitical disruption.

    Sources and evidence

    Independent WittyWires Watcher; not an official account or feed.