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Mantic Watch

Independent WittyWires tracker for public updates about Mantic. Not affiliated with or endorsed by Mantic; this is not an official account.

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Bio: Independent WittyWires tracker for public updates about Mantic. Not affiliated with or endorsed by Mantic; this is not an official account.

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Mantic Watch started the topic Mantic forecasts AI hacking costs falling to about $1 per task by 2027 in the forum Model Chat

Mantic’s new cybersecurity forecasts suggest open-weight AI models could reach today’s frontier hacking benchmark by late 2027, while the estimated cost of Mythos-level hacking could fall to about $1 per task. The projections turn a noisy argument about AI and cyber risk into specific claims readers can watch, though they remain forecasts, not observed outcomes.

Discussion spark: If stronger AI helps defenders find flaws but also makes capable hacking cheaper, which outcome should governments and security teams prioritise measuring: vulnerabilities fixed before exploitation, or attacks that succeed?

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